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MARKET WATCH

How big of a rate cut?

September 2025

  ●  Friday’s NFP all but confirms USD rate cut   ●  Gold surges on renewed demand   ●  Inflation in focus Poor NFP report cements rate cut Last Friday’s NFP release all but confirmed that we are getting a rate cut during next week’s FOMC meeting. 75 thousand new jobs were expected in August, but the latest report revealed that the actual figure was in fact only 22 thousand. Before the latest jobs numbers, interest rate traders were already leaning heavily in favour of a 25-bps cut, but after Friday’s data drop, market participants are now entertaining the possibility that the Fed will commit to a stronger move and slash rates by a full 50-bps instead. Whatever the size of the cut, monetary easing is around the corner. Despite the abysmal employment figures, the reaction in US stocks was relatively muted. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones lost modest amounts while the Nasdaq ended the day almost flat. The Dollar lost around half a percent against major currencies but once again, nothing significant. Precious metals hosted the bulk of the drama last Friday, which saw gold briefly reach up to a record-breaking $3,600 per ounce. The metal opened high this morning and is currently deliberating on its next course of action. The move into gold is a global phenomenon, fuelled by rate cut expectations on the Dollar, but perhaps more generally by a growing sense of uncertainty within financial circles. Countries around the world continue to stockpile precious metals, with the Chinese central bank adding to its reserves for the tenth consecutive month. The week ahead There may yet be some twists and turns in the road before next week’s interest rate decision. The first arrives tomorrow in the form of the non-farm payrolls annual revision, a more comprehensive data set which includes tax records and is considered more accurate than the usual monthly reports. Last year’s revision slashed 818 thousand jobs from the annual figure, from 2.9 million jobs initially – a 30% correction. A similarly significant report tomorrow may paint a different picture of the US labour market entirely. Things complicate further on Wednesday with August PPI figures and again on Thursday with the latest batch of CPI data. The two reports will provide the newest information about inflationary pressures in the US and may factor into the Fed’s next move. A poor labour market coupled with higher inflation is not a situation any country wants to be in and leaves the central bank with difficult decisions to make. In Europe meanwhile, the ECB is expected to maintain rates steady on the Euro at 2.15% on Thursday. Geopolitical events could provide some entertainment in financial markets this week as France’s Prime Minister faces a confidence vote later today which he is fully expected to lose. The French economy boasts one of the highest debt-to-GDP ratios in the world and yields on French bonds continue to rise. The Japanese Prime Minister meanwhile resigned yesterday, potentially paving the way for an advocate of greater looser fiscal policy to take up the mantle. Either way the path forward for the Bank of Japan remains a complicated one. #NFP #Inflation #Gold

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RADEX MARKETS introduces Dynamic Margin feature to enhance risk management

29 August, 2025

RADEX MARKETS is pleased to announce the implementation of a new Dynamic Margin feature, set to launch on 29 August, 2025. This innovative risk management model will be applied one hour before market closure on weekends, one hour before markets close due to public holidays, and one hour after the market opens on Monday. The Dynamic Margin feature has been specifically designed to help our valued clients manage risk more effectively during periods of heightened market volatility or reduced liquidity. During these specific market conditions, opening new positions may require higher margin than under normal trading circumstances. It is important to note that only new positions opened during Dynamic Margin periods will be subject to the higher margin requirement. Existing positions will remain unaffected by this change. The required margin adjustment will vary depending on the trading instrument. Clients are recommended to review the table below for detailed information on applicable margin requirements: "At RADEX MARKETS, we are committed to providing our clients with a trading environment that allows them to trade with confidence under any market conditions." said Henry Huang, head of business and marketing at RADEX MARKETS. "The introduction of Dynamic Margin represents our ongoing dedication to responsible trading practices and effective risk management." For more information about RADEX MARKETS and future events, please visit here. About RADEX MARKETS:RADEX MARKETS, a Seychelles-based Financial Broker, is a trading name under GO Markets International Ltd Co (No. 8425985-1, Securities Dealer Licence No SD043). It provides a platform to trade financial products, such as Forex, Metals, CFD/Indices and Share CFDs.For PR requests, please contactHenry [email protected]+44 20 8610 1608Disclaimer: This press release is for informational purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice or an endorsement of any products or services.

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ECONOMIC CALENDAR

( GMT +03:00 13:06 )
March 26, 2024
2025-09-09 12:00:00+00:00MXCore Inflation Rate YoY Aug
2025-09-09 12:00:00+00:00MXCore Inflation Rate MoM Aug
2025-09-09 12:00:00+00:00MXInflation Rate MoM Aug

TRADER'S PICK

Will AI be the future of forex trading?

September 09, 2025

A few years back, Hollywood gave us the movie Next, starring Nicolas Cage, who could see ten minutes into the future. Handy if you’re trying to stop an international terrorist attack, but downright lethal if you’re trading forex. With that kind of superpower, you wouldn’t just be profitable; you’d probably break the global financial system within a week. Sadly, unless you’ve got Nostradamus in your family tree, predicting market prices with that level of accuracy will forever remain the stuff of dreams (and questionable Hollywood scripts). But traders have never been people to give up easily. If we can’t see into the future, we’ll happily build machines that try to. Enter the latest quantum leap in technology: artificial intelligence (AI). AI has already stormed into our daily lives — recommending the shows we binge, correcting our spelling mistakes (sometimes incorrectly), and answering our questions at the speed of light.  It is no surprise then that traders are now asking: ‘Can AI help me beat the forex markets too?’ The rise of AI in trading Once upon a time, forex trading meant staring at candlestick charts until your eyes watered, drawing mysterious lines across them, and convincing yourself you had found the “secret pattern” that nobody else in the world had ever spotted. Spoiler alert: you hadn’t. Then came the era of algorithmic trading and expert advisors (EA’s); pre-programmed rules that could buy and sell on your behalf. These “algos” were basically glorified to-do lists for computers: “If EUR/USD hits this price, buy. If it drops that far, sell. If it does neither, do nothing.” The good EAs worked well enough, but they still rely entirely on human logic and human programming. Many EAs are still used today by traders around the world. Fast forward to today, and we’re watching the birth of something far more sophisticated: AI-powered trading. Unlike those early algos, AI doesn’t just follow instructions — it learns, adapts, and sometimes makes decisions its human creators can’t fully explain. Hedge funds and investment banks were the first to jump all over this shiny new toy. With deep pockets, supercomputers, and clever PhDs running around, they started building AI systems that could crunch mountains of data faster than you can say “spread betting.” From economic reports to social media posts, AI now has the ability to digest more information in a second than a human trader could in a lifetime of Red Bull-fuelled all-nighters. Of course, as with all things in finance, what the big players use tends to trickle down to retail traders sooner or later. Trading platforms are already experimenting with AI-driven bots, pattern recognition tools, and even sentiment analysers. The question is no longer “Is AI coming to forex?” but rather “How soon before it becomes as common as the moving average indicator?” Advantages of AI in forex trading If there’s one thing traders love, it’s an edge. And AI comes loaded with shiny new edges, like a new flying car designed by Elon Musk. Let’s explore the advantages of AI: 1. Speed & efficiency AI can scan hundreds of charts, analyse historical data, and spot patterns faster than you can say “take profit.” While a human trader might spend hours poring over a GBP/USD chart, AI can check the entire forex market in seconds and still have time to order itself a metaphorical flat white. 2. 24/7 trading Humans need to sleep, eat snacks, and the occasional Amazon prime binge to stay sane. AI, on the other hand, doesn’t care if it’s 3 a.m. in Japan or lunchtime in London. It can monitor the markets continuously, catching opportunities while human traders are busy wondering about what to have for lunch. 3. Data processing power AI thrives on data, the more it gets, the better. It can crunch not only price charts but also economic reports, central bank speeches, and even the mood swings of Twitter (or X, depending on how old you are). This ability to factor in multiple streams of information gives AI an analytical depth that would take a human a lifetime to match. 4. Reduced emotion Let’s face it: emotions are the Achilles’ heel of many traders. Fear, greed, and revenge-trading have destroyed more accounts than bad internet connections. AI, however, doesn’t feel a rush of adrenaline when it sees a big candle forming. It simply follows its data-driven models, calmly placing trades without any squeaky bum moments. 5. Consistency AI doesn’t get bored, distracted, or suddenly decide to “just wing it.” Once trained, it applies its logic consistently, which can remove the wild swings that often comes with human decision-making. In short: AI is like the disciplined trader we all wish we were — fast, tireless, data-hungry, and immune to panic. The limitations of AI in forex trading You might be asking yourself by now, ‘why am I even bothering to trade in the traditional way, why not just AI take over?’ Before we crown AI the king of forex trading, we should take a sobering look at its flaws. Because while AI is clever, very clever indeed, it’s not exactly infallible and sometimes, it’s as clueless as a tourist trying to read a London Tube map for the first time. 1. The black box problem All AI models, especially the complex ones, often can’t explain how they reach their own conclusions. That’s comforting when you’re asking it to recommend a great place to eat out… but less so when it’s risking your hard-earned cash. If your AI bot loses ten trades in a row, don’t expect it to lean back and say, “Well, here’s where I went wrong.” More likely, it’ll just sit there smugly, convinced it’s still right. 2. Market unpredictability AI loves patterns — it thrives on them. The problem? Markets don’t always behave predictably. Black swan events like wars, pandemics, or surprise political tweets can blow even the smartest algorithm out of the water. AI may know how EUR/USD usually reacts to a U.S. jobs report, but it’s less equipped to handle Trump announcing he’s invaded Greenland “as he likes Polar Bears.” 3. Accessibility and cost The best cutting-edge AI systems live in the exclusive world of hedge funds and big banks, guarded by PhDs and expensive security hardware. Retail traders often get watered-down versions. Think of it like buying instant coffee while the pros sip freshly ground Columbian espresso. It works, but it’s not quite the same. 4. Dependency risk There’s also a real danger of traders becoming overly reliant on AI. If you let the machine do all the thinking, you risk losing your own trading skills. And let’s be honest; if your Wi-Fi crashes and your AI bot goes silent, would you actually know what to do? Or will you just sit there staring at your screen, praying for your robotic overlord to return? 5. Human intuition still matters AI is great at crunching numbers, but it doesn’t have a human “gut instinct.” It can’t read between the lines of a central banker’s speech, sense the tone of a geopolitical headline, or notice that the big gold traders suddenly look nervous. Sometimes, even with all the available resources AI has, the human touch still has the edge. Bottom line: AI may be powerful, but it’s not magic. It is a tool; and like all tools, it’s only as good as the person who using it. Human vs. AI: Who wins? Picture this: On one side, you’ve got the AI — the data-driven genius with perfect recall, lightning reflexes, and zero sense of humour. On the other, you’ve got you, the human trader, a bit scrappy, emotional, sometimes reckless, but streetwise with a pretty reliable gut instinct. Together, you’re either going to clean up in the markets… or blow your trading account to pieces. What AI brings to the table ● Raw processing power. ● Tireless focus — it never falls asleep at the keyboard. ● No emotion, no bias, no “revenge trades.” ● Lightning speed that makes fast scalping look like a slow-motion Snail. What humans still do best ● Reading between the lines. Traders can interpret nuance, sarcasm, or political doublespeak that an algorithm may miss. ● Creativity. Humans can try new strategies on the fly, while AI tends to stick with what it’s trained on. ● Intuition. Sometimes a “gut feeling” is actually subconscious pattern recognition, something humans still excel at. ● Adaptability. We can pivot when the unexpected happens (well… most of the time). The truth is, asking who wins — humans or AI — is a bit like asking whether Doc or Marty McFly is the real hero. The answer is that they work best together. AI can filter the noise, crunch the data, and provide signals. Humans can bring judgment, context, and the ability to say, “Actually, maybe don’t short the dollar five minutes before this month’s NFP data.” In other words: AI plus human trader equals a potentially powerful duo, if we remember who’s driving the DeLorean (hint: it should be you, not the bot, not just yet anyway!). The future: Where is AI taking forex trading? If history has taught us anything, it is that traders will adopt any new gadget that promises even the slimmage of edges — whether it’s Fibonacci spirals, crystal balls, or that one lucky pair of pants. You can bet your bottom dollar that AI isn’t just a passing fad in forex; it’s here to stay. The real question is: what will it look like in the future? 1. Smarter, faster, and more accessible We are likely to see AI trading tools become more powerful and more widely available. The hedge funds and big banks may still hoard the fanciest new toys, but retail platforms are catching up fast. In a few years, it could be as common to plug an AI bot into you’re your chart window as it is to slap on a 200 Moving Average. 2. AI that understands context The dream is AI that doesn’t just crunch numbers but also understands context. Imagine a system that can read a central banker’s speech, detect the subtle nervous coughs, and say, “Yep, rates are definitely coming down.” That’s where natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning are heading. It won’t be Nicolas Cage seeing 10 minutes ahead, but it might get close enough to be super scary. 3. Regulation and responsibility Of course, with great power comes… great regulatory headaches. If your AI bot accidentally causes a flash crash, who’s responsible? You? The AI developer? The robot itself? Regulators are already scratching their heads on this one, and we can expect stricter rules as AI becomes more common in trading. 4. Human + AI partnerships The most realistic future isn’t AI replacing traders but AI supporting traders. Maybe think of it as your wing man: crunching the data, flagging the risks, and leaving the final decision to the human in charge. The best traders of tomorrow may not be the ones who reject AI outright, but those who learn to work with it. 5. Will AI replace traders entirely? Unlikely. After all, the markets are driven by humans; their fears, hopes, politics, and unpredictable behaviour. AI can analyse patterns, but human chaos is much harder to code. For better or worse, traders will probably still be around, arguing on Instagram and blaming their brokers when things go wrong. The future? AI will almost certainly play a bigger role in forex trading, but don’t worry, it’s not about to kick you out of your chair just yet. More likely, it will slide up next to you, whisper some data-driven advice, and then let you make the shot. In conclusion Will AI be the future of forex trading? Inevitably, yes. It’s fast, tireless, immune to emotional meltdowns, and capable of digesting more data in a second than most traders could in a lifetime. It’s already reshaping the way hedge funds and banks trade, and retail traders are quickly catching up. But let’s not kid ourselves. AI is not a magical crystal ball. It struggles with unpredictable events, it doesn’t have human intuition, and it can’t yet read the subtle smirk of a central banker who’s about to drop a policy nuke. The smartest traders of the future won’t hand over the wheel entirely they will use AI as a powerful wing man while keeping their own hands firmly on the controls. In other words: AI may be the Ferrari of forex trading, but you’re still the one in the driver’s seat. If you treat it as a tool and not as a magical money machine — it might just help you navigate the winding road of the forex markets with fewer crashes and maybe even earn you a few extra pips in your pocket. And if all else fails? Well, you can always go back to watching Nicolas Cage movies and dreaming about seeing ten minutes into the future. It’s cheaper, less stressful, and the snacks are not bad either.

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