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MARKET WATCH

Pivotal week ahead

ottobre 2025

  ●  Lower inflation drives US stocks higher   ●  US and China to talk on Thursday   ●  Fed rate cut ahead Surprise inflation data Markets have been starved for economic data all month due to the shutdown of the US government, but last Friday, traders were finally thrown a bone in the form of September CPI figures. The delayed report revealed that while headline inflation ticked up to 3.0% from 2.9% the month prior, core inflation actually fell from 3.1% down to 3.0% last month. Both figures came in below expectations and no doubt prompted a few sighs of relief among market participants. While everyone is still in the dark regarding the US labour market, the fact that inflationary pressures are at least partially under control is a good sign as far as the Fed is concerned. The central bank was already widely expected to reduce rates by a further quarter of a percentage point during Wednesday’s meeting, but in the eyes of many, the most recent CPI report has cemented the cut. US indices certainly reacted accordingly, with the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all closing at record highs on Friday. Trade talks on the horizon The meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping is set to go ahead on Thursday. The obvious goal of the discussion is to resolve the ongoing trade war between the two nations and to come to an agreement regarding rare earth exports and tariffs. Whether or not the talks lead to any tangible results is almost irrelevant at this point – such accords take time to establish. The interesting part is the fact that the two leaders are willing to meet at all. The sudden easing of tensions between the US and China has raised questions about the long-term viability of safe-haven flows into gold. The precious metal did not react well to the news of a meeting last week and is not showing much optimism going into this week either. Gold opened low this morning and is currently below $4,100 per ounce. Silver is also down more than one percent as of this morning. Once again, we are seeing an inverse relationship with cryptocurrencies, which have been comparatively buoyant in recent days, pushing Bitcoin back above $115k earlier today. The week ahead It will be a busy week for central banks. Top of the list is the aforementioned Federal Reserve, which is expected to lower rates on the dollar by 25-bps to 4% on Wednesday. On the same day, the Bank of Canada will convene to decide the rate on the Canadian dollar, which is also forecast to receive a 25-bps cut to 2.25%. A day later, in the early hours of Thursday morning, the Bank of Japan is likely to maintain rates on the yen at 0.5% while the European Central Bank will keep rates at 2.15% on the Euro later that same day. Interest rate decisions aside, it will also be a huge week for earnings. Visa (V) is scheduled to report on Tuesday; Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG) and META all report on Wednesday; Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Eli Lilly (LLY) and Mastercard (MA) report on Thursday; finally, Exxon Mobil (XOM) and AbbVie (ABBV) report on Friday. #StockMarket #USChina #Federal

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Platform time change announcement

28 ottobre, 2025

As daylight saving time in the United States 2025 will end as of 11/03/2025, RADEX MARKETS’ platform time for MetaTrader 4/5 will change from GMT+3 to GMT+2. How will this affect my trades? After the markets open on 11/02/2025, RADEX MARKETS’ platform time for MetaTrader 4/5 will be GMT+2. Contracts will roll over at 12:00 AM as usual, which will be the time below in the other time zones: - AEST 09:00 - GMT  22:00 How will this affect EAs? If you use EA (Auto-trading) or any other algorithmic trading system, the change of platform time will affect your trades. Please confirm if you need to manually adjust the time on your EAs. Please feel free to reach out to us if you have any questions.

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CALENDARIO ECONOMICO

( GMT +03:00 13:06 )
March 26, 2024
2025-10-28 14:00:00+00:00USIndice manifatturiero Richmond Fed Ott
2025-10-29 00:30:00+00:00AUIndicatore CPI mensile Set
2025-10-29 00:30:00+00:00AUTasso di inflazione su base annua T3

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The perfect trading strategy

ottobre 28, 2025

The Search for the Holy Grail of Forex The big question for all forex traders whether they are newbies or seasoned institutional traders ask themselves from time-to-time is this: What’s the perfect strategy to guarantee me winning trades? Ah yes, the dreamers amongst us have often pondered on this very question, there has to be a secret formula that guarantees you success…. right?!? Wrong. I am going to have to disappoint you here; the perfect winning strategy does not exist. If it did, the person who found it wouldn’t be on YouTube selling you a $997 “secret system.” They’d be offshore somewhere on a private island, laundering their gains through a chain of suspiciously successful beach bars. Crushing news, I know, but the Piña Coladas taste great. The forex graveyard is littered with traders who thought they’d cracked the code. Martingale geeks doubling down until their account disappeared faster than free beer at a forex trader’s convention. Over-leveraged dreamers blown out by a single news announcement they “didn’t think would matter.” And of course, the ever-eternal optimists who believe one more “sure thing” trade will get them back to break even. (It won’t. It never does.) But here’s the thing: while perfection is a scam, some strategies are smarter, safer, and give you a better shot at not turning your trading account into a bonfire. They won’t make you invincible, but they might help you survive long enough to actually learn what you’re doing. This article isn’t about selling you fairy tales. It’s about pulling back the curtain on popular strategies, exposing the traps, and maybe, just maybe, helping you build something that works for your personality, your risk appetite, and your ability to resist doing something dumb when trading gold at 2 a.m. after three strong espressos. The Myth of the Perfect Strategy Every trader wants the magic bullet. The flawless system. The strategy that works in all markets, all the time. The problem? That’s like expecting a weather forecast to be always right, or a diet that lets you eat nothing but pizza and still lose weight. The ugly truth is that markets are messy. They don’t care about your indicators, your “guru” subscription, or your clever little trading robot you downloaded off some dodgy Telegram channel. The market’s only job is to humiliate the maximum number of people possible in the shortest amount of time. That’s why the promise of a “perfect” strategy is so dangerous. Newbies fall for scams because they want certainty in a world built on uncertainty and most will take the easiest route. They get seduced by screenshots of 99%-win rates, not realising that most of those “strategies” end in one glorious, account-destroying margin call. It’s financial Darwinism in action. But here’s the key: you don’t need perfection to make money in forex. You just need an edge. A strategy that wins more than it loses over time. Combined with risk management (more on that later), that’s enough to grow an account and keep you in the game. Not exactly sexy, not flashy, but way better than the alternative of explaining to your partner why your rent money is now in the hands of a very smug market maker. Tried-and-Tested Trading Strategies If there is no perfect strategy, what’s left? Plenty. Some approaches have stood the test of time’ not because they never lose, but because they work often enough to keep traders in the game. Let’s look at a few of these: 1. Trend Following – “The Trend is Your Friend… Until it Stabs You in the Back” The idea is simple: find the direction the market’s moving and go with it. Humans like trends. We binge TV shows, we follow fashion, we line up for overpriced pumpkin-spiced Lattes every autumn. Markets aren’t much different. When a currency pair is trending, it often keeps trending, until it doesn’t. The danger? Traders hang on too long, convinced the trend will last forever. Spoiler: it won’t. By the time you realise it’s over, you’re usually giving your profits back plus interest. 2. Breakout Trading – “Catch the Rockets (or Get Burned by the Sparks)” This strategy is all about trading when price bursts out of a range. Done right, it can be fantastic. Done wrong, it’s a false breakout, and you’re left holding an empty bottle. Breakout traders need discipline. If you don’t use stop losses, the market will teach you a painful lesson about why they exist. 3. Scalping – “Death by a Thousand Trades” Scalping is for the hyperactive trader. You jump in and out of trades, aiming for tiny profits dozens (or hundreds) of times a day. It sounds exciting, until you realise you’ve spent eight hours staring at one-minute charts, made 200 trades, and still somehow ended up down for the day. We have all been there. It can work, but you need nerves of steel, super-tight spreads, and the patience of a saint. Most newbie traders who try scalping end up exhausted, broke, and wondering why they didn’t just get a part-time job instead. 4. Swing Trading – “Because Some of Us Like to Sleep” Swing traders hold positions for days or even weeks. Less stressful than scalping, more strategic than gambling on the news. The advantage? You don’t have to babysit your trades 24/7. The disadvantage? Overnight gaps, market swaps fees and “weekend surprises” that make you question why you ever trusted the markets in the first place. Risk Management – The Real Secret Sauce Here’s a brutal truth: your strategy does not matter ‘one jot’ if your risk management is rubbish. You could be Nostradamus with a Bloomberg terminal, but if you risk half your account on a single trade, you’re just one Trump Tweet away from financial ruin. Most traders ignore risk management because it’s boring. It doesn’t sell courses. Nobody brags on Instagram about using a sensible stop-loss. But do you know who does care? The market makers. They love reckless traders, it’s how they make money. Some golden (and slightly blood-stained) rules of risk management:   ●   Never risk more than 1-2% of your account per trade. Blow past this and you’re basically speedrunning your way to bankruptcy.   ●   Always use a stop-loss. Trading without one is a recipe for disaster.   ●   Position sizing is everything. Want to feel invincible? Trade small enough that losing doesn’t hurt.   ●   Accept that losses are part of the game. Every professional trader loses trades. The difference is they survive to trade another day. Amateurs blow up and retreat to Reddit to complain about how “the market is rigged.” The ironic twist? The closest thing you’ll ever find to a “perfect” strategy is actually solid risk management. It doesn’t make you win every trade, but it ensures you don’t lose everything on one bad day. And in forex, survival is the name of the game. Psychology – The Trading Monster in the Mirror You can have the best strategy in the world, tight risk management, and a fancy workstation that looks like NASA mission control… and still lose money. Why? Because the most dangerous opponent you’ll ever face in forex isn’t the currency market; it is yourself. Fear: The Trade Assassin Fear makes you close trades too early, just to “lock in profits,” only to watch the price skyrocket without you. Fear convinces you to skip trades altogether, because what if it loses? In short, fear will keep you safe… and broke. Greed: The Silent Account Killer Greed tells you to double your position size because “this one looks good.” Greed whispers, just one more trade, long after you should’ve shut the laptop and walked away. Greed is the reason traders turn small gains into massive losses. Revenge Trading: The Fast Lane to Rock Bottom Ah yes, the trader’s classic meltdown. You lose a trade, get angry, and decide the market “owes you one.” Sorry: the market doesn’t owe you anything. It doesn’t even know you exist. Overconfidence: The Most Expensive Drug in Forex You have had a good week, and suddenly you’re Warren Buffett on steroids. You start increasing your lot size, ignoring your rules, and posting victory screenshots online. That’s when the market strikes back, humbling you faster than a blink of an eye. The real secret? Trading psychology is about self-discipline. Following your plan even when it’s boring. Accepting that losses are part of the process. Keep your ego in check. Most people can’t do it and that’s why a lot of traders lose. Adaptability – Why Forex Traders Need to Adapt Here’s another home truth: even if you stumble across a strategy that works brilliantly today, it won’t work forever. Markets evolve. Conditions change. What worked in a low-volatility market will crumble when volatility spikes. What thrived in 2024 may flop in 2025. The market gets bored of the same tricks, adapts, and punishes traders who refuse to evolve. Why Adaptability Matters:   ●   Changing market conditions. A trending market rewards trend-followers, but a ranging market will chew them up.   ●   Technology shifts. Algorithms and bots dominate liquidity today in ways human traders can barely comprehend. Competing without adapting is like bringing a knife to a gunfight.   ●   News cycles. Political drama, economic surprises, and central bank shenanigans can flip a working strategy into a money-burning machine overnight. Adaptability doesn’t mean changing your plan every five minutes (that’s just a recipe for chaos). It means recognising when your edge has dulled and adjusting it before the market makes you extinct. The market is ruthless. It doesn’t care about your back tests, your “secret indicators,” or how many YouTube gurus promised you 90%-win rates. It rewards those who evolve and buries those who don’t. If you’re looking for the “perfect strategy,” maybe it’s this: stay flexible, stay humble, and never assume what worked yesterday will save you tomorrow. The Myth of the Holy Grail – Why Chasing Perfection Will Ruin You If you’ve spent more than five minutes online researching forex, you’ve seen it: the endless parade of gurus, YouTube prophets, and Instagram “mentors” showing off rented Lamborghinis and screenshots of their “100% win-rate system.” Spoiler alert: if they really had the Holy Grail of trading, they wouldn’t be selling it for $49.99 with a free Telegram group. The obsession with finding a perfect, always-winning strategy is the financial equivalent of chasing Bigfoot. Lots of blurry evidence, but somehow nobody ever catches it. Meanwhile, those chasing the dream lose precious time, money, and eventually their sanity. The Dangers of Holy Grail Hunting:   ●   Strategy hopping. Traders jump from one system to another, never giving any of them enough time to work. Result: death by a thousand demo accounts.   ●   Over-optimisation. Endless tweaking of indicators until your chart looks like a Christmas tree. It works great in back tests… right up until reality smashes it.   ●   False hope. Believing there’s a secret shortcut stops you from learning the actual skills that matter, discipline, risk management and adaptability. The dark truth? The “perfect” system doesn’t exist because markets are unpredictable, messy, and occasionally cruel. Your job isn’t to beat them into submission with a magic formula. Your job is to survive, adapt, and grind out consistent edges over time. The irony is delicious: the traders who stop hunting for perfection, and instead focus on imperfection, managing losses, improving discipline, staying flexible, these traders are the ones who eventually succeed. Conclusion – The Closest Thing to a Perfect Forex Trading Strategy What’s the perfect forex strategy? Here’s the twist: it’s not a single magic formula, not a mystical indicator, and definitely not something you’ll find in a $50 PDF from a guy who films trading tutorials in his mum’s basement. The closest thing to perfection is a mix of solid risk management, a strategy you understand and can stick to, and the discipline to actually follow it. Sprinkle in a dash of adaptability, a thick skin for losses, and the ability to laugh at your own mistakes, and you are miles ahead of most traders. In the end, trading isn’t about winning every battle, it’s about surviving the war. Losses will happen. Bad trades will happen. Meltdowns will happen. But if you can keep your account intact and your sanity (or at least most of it), you’re already succeeding in a game designed to chew people up. Maybe that’s the real Holy Grail: not perfection, but persistence. The traders who stay in the game long enough to learn, adapt, and grow are the ones who eventually see success. Everyone else? They’re just expensive lessons for the rest of us. Build something that works for you, respect the risks, and accept that imperfection is part of the process. And if you can do all that with a smirk on your face and just the right amount of dark humour, congratulations, you are on the right path to perfection.

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